Nintendo at E3 2011

[Angrist]

Do you really think that?

Nintendo is building the whole console around this concept, and that's why it will work.
Sure, MS/Sony could launch some feature that lets you use a tablet. But it will just be another feature that nobody will use. Like the SIXAXIS. Or the Move. Like the AGB/GCN connectivity. If they're very lucky, in 4 years they'll have something that is as succesful as Kinect.

In fact, with the presentation of the PS3 (E3 2006?) Sony already showed you can use the PSP as a second screen for your PS3. Remember they used it as a rear mirror for some racing game? So the idea of a second, portable screen is quite old. Guess what, nobody used it. People have forgotten about it. Not because the idea wasn't good, but because it was poorly executed.

Now Nintendo has this great plan, has gotten developers on board and everybody is full of ideas. There's no way MS/Sony will catch up with them within 3 years. And when they do, it will just be another expansion... And the only expansion we've ever seen work is Kinect, and even that is very controversial.

I personally think that the graphical leap between this and the next gen will be smaller, or at least not so important. Yes, even if Wii U isn't (much) stronger than the PS360 (and we don't know that yet), the PS4/3602 will outclass it. But do you really think that's going to stop Nintendo and 3rd parties from making a load of awesome games?

We can bet it won't be as bad as Wii.