First Presidential Debate

[The Germanator]

Originally Posted by Bond

RCP provides a better aggregation (aka. higher standards) of the polls in my view: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html

Hmm, well...I know Silver got 49/50 right in 2008. I find it a little funny in that map that they give a "likely GOP" to states (AZ, NC) that Romney leads by 5.3% and 5.6% respectively, but they don't give that same designation to the two states (PA, MI) that Obama leads by exactly 5% each. Those states are worth 36 electoral votes. Maybe 5% is their cut-off for what is a "toss-up" but it's slightly misleading.