An analyst said it so it must be true: PS3 will outsell Wii

[Bond]

Originally Posted by BreakABone

Instead of focusing on why Nintendo won, why don't people look at where Sony and MS screwed the pooch. They jumped started a generation with a prospect that people cared as much about graphics as the vocal "hardcore" gamer, so they had to jack their console launch price to almost double what is usually expected. They both launched with weak software line-ups and really didn't get the ball rolling until half way through their first full year. And they continually cater to a singular audience, and I know for everyone here that isn't a big deal because you are that audience, but in the long run, this generation I believe will have done more harm than good to the industry.

You're missing the business point here. Market share domination does not always necessarily equate with success, just as having less market share does not equate with failure. If Microsoft and Sony are able to carve out a sufficient percentage of the video game market, and remain profitable, it is a successful business venture.

I see why you are upset from your own personal vantage point / where you would like to see the video game industry go, but the fact that Nintendo knowingly removed itself from direct competition with Microsoft and Sony was an extremely smart business move, just as Microsoft mainly focusing on the "hardcore" demographic was a smart business move.


On the analyst, I agree his prediction is not realistic. I suppose this may be a high-reward, low-risk prediction, though. From my experience, financial predictions / reports on the video game sector are not taken extremely seriously. Up until a year ago CNBC was routinely misspelling "Xbox," and the anchors and guests had absolutely no idea what they were talking about.