Republican National Convention (Sept. 1-4)

[The Germanator]

Originally Posted by Professor S

I believe the Rasmussen poll is always a poll of likely voters. In any case, polls of likely voters always seem to skew Republican. Per capita, Republicans just vote more.

I normally don't like polls, but I always like to follow them after the conventions, and the numbers don't look favorable for Obama right now. His bounce seems to have disappeared and gone the other way a little. They're in a statistical dead-heat.

It's not exactly that way if you look at the electoral map of the following...

http://www.pollster.com

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/...map/index.html

http://www.zogby.com/50state/

According to these, Obama just has to flip a few of the toss-ups and he's got it. Of course, it's early so I don't know how seriously I take these.

By the way, Gallup has it at 48% to 44% for Obama. Closer than it has been. It's definitely close, but I like the look of the electoral map in Obama's favor.