Quote:
Originally Posted by Professor S
I believe the Rasmussen poll is always a poll of likely voters. In any case, polls of likely voters always seem to skew Republican. Per capita, Republicans just vote more.
I normally don't like polls, but I always like to follow them after the conventions, and the numbers don't look favorable for Obama right now. His bounce seems to have disappeared and gone the other way a little. They're in a statistical dead-heat.
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It's not exactly that way if you look at the electoral map of the following...
http://www.pollster.com
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/...map/index.html
http://www.zogby.com/50state/
According to these, Obama just has to flip a few of the toss-ups and he's got it. Of course, it's early so I don't know how seriously I take these.
By the way, Gallup has it at 48% to 44% for Obama. Closer than it has been. It's definitely close, but I like the look of the electoral map in Obama's favor.