More Conn. Confusion

[Professor S]

Hmmm... the Connecticut rae just keeps on getting more and more interesting...

8/3 - Lamont leads Lieberman by double digits
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...080300597.html

8/13 - Lieberman leads Lamont by double digits
http://www.blogd.com/archives/002000.html (yes, the blog is rather idiotic but the CNN poll is real)

8/22 - Dead heat
http://pushingrope.blogspot.com/2006...rman-poll.html

This all means one thing... polls are a bunch of crap. What is happening is pollsters target audiences in ways that have lttle to do with gaining an idea of who will win, but instead are aimed at influencing the vote by targeting constituents that will give them the poll data they want. Rational people don't swing their political opinions like this in 19 days.

I still maintain that Lieberman will win, and here is why:

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/19/nyregion/19conn.html

The Republicans seem to be taking Xantar's advise and backing Lieberman instead of their own candidate. Now if only Schlesinger would drop out of the race, and this could be a perfect embarrasment of the democrats... mmmm... delicious...