If the XBox is mildly successful in japan I will be surprised because:
1) The PS2 has a very big head start
But most importantly
2) The XBox is an American product. You ever see any Japanese tooling around in a Chevy? Nope. You ever hear about how great RCA TV's sell in Japan? Nope. If there is an alternative Japanese product in the same genre, nationalistic Japanese won't have much interest.
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