even though I can't see any of those games keeping you busy, I say get TS2.
I don't care what most peeps are saying here, the single player is fun. There are so many challenges that I can't even imagine beating the game 100% in less than 100 hours.
Then there is multi play, which is great imo. If you have ANY plans to bring friends over to play, this is your #1 choice... w/o friends, this is still me #1 choice.
If you are talking 2 months of replay value, I would seriously suggest you not get anything else.
It's all up to you though.
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"I have been saying this for some time, but customers are not interested in grand games with higher-quality graphics and sound and epic stories,"-Hiroshi Yamauchi
I AM TheGame, and I am THAT DAMN GOOD
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