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Originally posted by Xantar
About the original topic:
People keep kvetching about how poorly Nintendo's games have done and so on, but stop a minute and really read that report.
The major reason Nintendo is lowering profit expectations and console sales expectations is because of the relatively strong performance of the Japanese yen. This is completely out of Nintendo's control.
As to Mario sales, we don't know how well it has done. But GameCube sales reportedly doubled when the game launched, so some people out there were waiting for it. Besides that, Nintendo raised expectations for software sales by 20 million because of strong third party support.
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It's happening again
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So maybe Nintendo overestimated Mario's performance. But by how much? We don't know. But I know this: Nintendo isn't perfect. When making predictions, they are allowed to make mistakes.
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I think Mario 64's success shouldn't have been brought into the equasion to begin with... and I think that's what Nintendo did. I mean, they are two different games any two different times... Mario 64 is on both the top 5 list for Revolutionary and Evelutionary games in history. Somthing the Sunshine could never have done.
I wonder how much they were estimating too...
(remember, we are talking about the same guys who thought Conker would be a million seller)