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Originally Posted by manasecret
Regarding the polls that put Obama/McCain at dead even, do they include factors like how many people are actually planning to go out and vote for Obama vs. how many are planning to go out and vote for McCain? Or is it just a simple poll of who would you vote for? It seems to me the number of people actually planning on voting would make a big difference.
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I believe the Rasmussen poll is always a poll of likely voters. In any case, polls of likely voters always seem to skew Republican. Per capita, Republicans just vote more.
I normally don't like polls, but I always like to follow them after the conventions, and the numbers don't look favorable for Obama right now. His bounce seems to have disappeared and gone the other way a little. They're in a statistical dead-heat.