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I actually think McCain will win the vote of the religious folks, the working class, and people over 40. It's going to be a close race either way....at least I think so. It wouldn't surprise me if it's 49%/51% type dealy.
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I disagree with that. :P Being a religious person myself and being surrounded by a lot of them, I cantell you for sure when the 2004 election and even the 2000 election was around they did openly support Bush more. But as it stands right now I see no open support for Mccain among the religious comunity, but I see Obama's name tossed around more like Bush's was.
As for the "working class" I'm not sure how you draw a line there. As for people over 40, that's the group that's more split on the issue from what I can see. I could see it going 50/50 for people over 40, or if Mccain supportersa re just quiet, then I could see Mccain taking that group.
Also, when I said 90% of the people know who theyre going to vote for already, I mean that right now Obama or Mccain would be hard pressed to change some people's minds. The people who are most likely still on the fence are hillary supporters, and if they've been following things for the last month they're likely all Obama supporters now, or they were never real hillary supporters to begin with.
Maybe its just me though, or maybe its just the schools I'm surrounded by, or the job I work for, or the church I attend. Maybe just the people I know online and offline, or just my family or the state I'm from. But to me, this doesn't look like it's going to be a close election again.
I think the thing that is killing Mccain is his open support for Bush.