Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Generally I agree. I'm not a huge fan of either Johnny Cash or NIN, but I do like Cash's version of the song much better.

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

But WHY though.
Just because it's Johnny Cash?
If it was anyone else, it would just have been a "meh" track. But since it was his last song, everyone gushes over it, and even forgets NIN did it initially. I've heard so many people say "Man, I heard NIN cover that new Johnny Cash song", and that just infuriates me.

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Posting to get my two in, in case I haven't.

..Actually, now that I think about it, this is my third. Oh well.

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Not sure why. I guarantee it's not just because it's Johnny Cash. I don't really care for anything else the man has done. But I don't like much of NIN stuff either.

Fine. I confess. I was just looking for a reason to vote for someone. Now I have to figure out a new scapegoat.

!retract Typhoid

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Using a random number generator to choose one of our numbers, I hereby cast my vote for flunkie44.

Proof of randomness:

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Proper voting format please or it doesn't count.

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

!vote Typhoid

Sorry friend. A secret, shadowy figure told me too... :(

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

!vote BaB

Do we have to state a reason? I've got reasons, I just don't want to share :p

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Whoops!
I !vote flunkie44

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

!Retract Bond


!Vote Bab

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

I don't know if I need to post here twice today too but I will before I go to work.

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

My vote from yesterday is still the same, no retractions here!

Yay! 2 posts... off to work now :(

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

If my math is correct current tally as it stands now

Typhoid- 5
Fox 6- 3
BaB- 2
Rock Adam- 1
Germie- 1
Cygb- 1
Danny- 1
James- 1
Bond- 1
Manasecret- 1
Flunkie- 1

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

Before I vote, my reasoning for it.

First the facts. As we all know, thatmariolover (TML) was innocent and had some kind of special ability. He was killed by the Others. Now, what are the chances that the Others choose in the very first round someone with a special ability? Well, we can figure out the odds. We know how many people are playing -- 25. I don't know how these Mafia games are set up, but I guess that about 1/3 of the total original players are the Others. That would mean there are about 9 Others, and 16 Survivors. We also know that there are at least 3 special abilities on the Survivor side. So we can now estimate the odds of the Others choosing a Survivor with a special ability --

P = 3/16 = 18.75%.

18.75%. Slim chance, but still not impossible. But what if there were other clues... ?

The other fact is we know that Fox 6 voted for Swan, an innocent, very early on with no explanation. We also know that that vote for Swan was then followed by two more with little explanation, one from Typhoid, and the other from jeepnut.

Finally, we know that because TML was innocent, that the conversation between BaB and TML in the last round was true. TML was innocent, we know this, so he would have no reason to lie about that conversation. For those that didn't see that conversation, I will repeat it here. For those that know it, you of course can skip the following quotes.



After all that fuss, it was ended rather mysteriously as if it didn't happen. That's why as some may remember I thought it may have been a play they put on to fool others into thinking they were innocent.

But now things are different. We know TML was innocent, therefore the conversation must be true. Then why was it ended so mysteriously, with neither one voting for the other? Ah! We know why. TML explained it himself --

Neither one wanted to be voted off! That's all it was!

Or was it?

Here is my argument:

Fox 6 is guilty. He voted early in the first round with no reason or explanation, for someone who was an innocent.

BaB is also guilty. He knew something about TML. BaB found something out in whatever conversations he had with TML behind closed doors. He may not have known anything explicitly, but he knew something was strange about TML.

So BaB must have thought, "How do I get rid of a Survivor that has a special ability without getting myself voted off?" And of course, that's easy! For an Other. His thoughts must have continued, "Why risk getting voted off the first round by voting for TML and incurring his wrath? I can take the heat and the votes off of myself, but still kill him anonymously as an Other! Quite simple really. No one would know, and we can still vote off another innocent." That other innocent being Swan in this case.

I can imagine your thoughts at this point. What a bunch of hair-brained logic. And I was at the same point myself until Fox 6 all but confirmed my suspicions.



Cut to Round 2:

Fox 6 knew of my suspicions of him for voting so early and so mysteriously for Swan the last round. He knew that I was watching him. So he thought he'd throw me off his trail. How?

He voted early and with no explanation again, but this time for BaB. That seemed to throw my theory out the window, but instead it only confirmed it.

When Fox 6 voted for BaB, I knew he would eventually change his vote. And, of course, he did. Why would an Other vote for another Other, and so quickly? Quite simple, to throw me off both of their trails. He wanted me to continue my logic from last round, thinking that whoever he voted for early must also be an innocent. Wily, yes, but not wily enough.

Fox 6 is guilty.

BaB is guilty.

I !vote Fox 6. BaB will be next.

Re: Mafianic 815 Round 2: Into thin air
 

I have my suspicions for others. But at this point, I think Typhoid is genuine and not guilty.