Re: First Presidential Debate
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http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...ically-biased/ Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium is even more bullish on Obama, basically giving him a 98% chance to win. He was even more accurate than Silver last election. http://election.princeton.edu/ |
Re: First Presidential Debate
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html I have a feeling this is going to be a weird election night with some serious surprises going both ways. I have this nagging feeling PA is in play... |
Re: First Presidential Debate
I think the voter turn out will be high, which is the only good thing about the media's 'falsely balanced' coverage. People who are pro Obama actually think he can lose, so they'll be more likely to vote... If the media told the truth and labeled it as Obama being clearly ahead all the time, then it would probably cost him some votes.
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Re: First Presidential Debate
I dont think there is any way Obama loses.
...But im going to vote just to be safe. |
Re: First Presidential Debate
Looking at the latest polling data, I have no idea who is going to win. Romney's momentum seemed to stop when Sandy hit the east coast, and Pres. Obama saw a spike of independent support as undecideds started the melt away in the last week.
Then again, there seems to be a last minute Romney surge in PA, and several prominent Bishops just openly endorsed Mitt, or more accurately came out against Pres. Obama. Pres. Obama took the observant Catholic vote in 2008. I still think this comes down to turnout, and that waits to be seen. A push always goes to the house, so if I were forced to make a call, I would call Pres. Obama winning re-election. Still voting in case I'm wrong, though. :D |
Re: First Presidential Debate
Definitely voting! Nate Silver has Obama up to a 92.2 % chance of winning tonight! Looking good.
Still have my nervous celebration/sadness beers for tomorrow night. |
Re: First Presidential Debate
I'll say 289-249, Romney.
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What about this nightmare scenario... *shudder*
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Re: First Presidential Debate
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I can't really give set numbers, but I think Obama's winning florida, likely going to break 300 electoral votes. Popular vote, idk. |
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Re: First Presidential Debate
Hindsight is 20/20, but sure seemed to be cognitive dissonance going on here by Bond/
Am I wrong? |
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On another topic, can you explain a little more why you thought PA was in play? |
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